000
FZPN03 KNHC 220925
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1030 UTC TUE OCT 22 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN 

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE OCT 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED OCT 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU OCT 24.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 16.5N 102.0W 959 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 22 
MOVING IS STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 
KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 98W AND 105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 10 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 16.4N 102.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS 
TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N 
TO 18N BETWEEN 99W AND 104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 15.9N 104.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 101W AND 108W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 15.6N 106.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 15.5N 109.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 15.5N 113.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.N OF 18N W OF 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 19N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 17N W OF 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.

.36 HOUR FORECAST N OF 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 
14.5N96W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 15N95W TO 14N96.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO 
NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC TUE OCT 22...

HURRICANE RAYMOND NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 75 
NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE N OF 
11N BETWEEN 98W AND 105W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
         
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 10N91W THEN RESUMES FROM 14N108W  
TO 09N120W TO 10N132W. ITCZ IS FROM 10N132W TO 05N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM N AND 60 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 
116W AND 123W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM S 
OF TROUGH BETWEEN 128W AND 132W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF ITCZ BETWEEN 133W AND 135W. 

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.