000
FZPN03 KNHC 212118
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC MON OCT 21 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN 

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 23.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 16.3N 102.2W 949 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 21
MOVING IS STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135
KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 16.3N 102.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 16.2N 103.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 15.8N 105.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 15.5N 108.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 15.5N 111.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.W OF LINE FROM 30N136W TO 22N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
FT IN NW SWELL.   
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 18N W OF 130W...AND FROM 18N TO 
22N W OF 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 16N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 2045 UTC MON OCT 21...

HURRICANE RAYMOND NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 75 
NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE N OF 
11N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
         
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N86W TO 12N93W THEN RESUMES FROM 13N107W  
TO 09N120W TO 09N130W. ITCZ IS FROM 08N132W TO 06N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG N OF 05N E OF 83W...INCLUDING 
THE GULF OF PANAMA. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 
90W AND 97W...AND FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 111W AND 116W. 

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.