000
FZPN03 KNHC 210908
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC MON OCT 21 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN 

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON OCT 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE OCT 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED OCT 23.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 16.0N 102.2W 955 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 21 
MOVING IS STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 
KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50 NM 
SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. 
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 150 NM SE AND 120 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 99W AND 103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 16.5N 102.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 31 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 99W AND 102W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 16.4N 102.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 16.0N 104.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 15.7N 106.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 15.5N 110.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.06 HOUR FORECAST W OF LINE FROM 30N138W TO 26N140W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.   
.24 HOUR FORECAST W OF LINE FROM 30N135W TO 19N137W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.   
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 19N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC MON OCT 21...

HURRICANE RAYMOND NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 90 
NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE N OF 12N BETWEEN 100W AND 104W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
         
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 12N93W THEN RESUMES FROM 14N105W 
TO 09.5N123W. ITCZ IS FROM 09.5N123W TO 06N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF TROUGH BETWEEN 84W AND 
90W. 

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.