000
FZPN03 KNHC 210306
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON OCT 21 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN 

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED OCT 23.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING... 
.HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 15.9N 102.0W 975 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 21 
MOVING N OR 350 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 
105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 
30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM SW 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 98W AND 103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 16.6N 101.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
FROM 11N TO 17N BETWEEN 99W AND 105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 17.0N 101.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM 
SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 16.7N 103.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 16.2N 105.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAYMOND NEAR 16.0N 109.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.12 HOUR FORECAST W OF LINE FROM 30N138W TO 26N140W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.   
.24 HOUR FORECAST W OF LINE FROM 30N135W TO 20N140W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.   
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 18N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 0200 UTC MON OCT 21...

TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 
70 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE N 
OF 13N BETWEEN 100W AND 104W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
         
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 13N92W THEN RESUMES W OF 
RAYMOND FROM 13N105W TO 10N117W TO 09N126W. ITCZ IS FROM 07N130W 
TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN 83W AND 
89W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 101W AND 107W. 

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.