000
FZPN03 KNHC 200258
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SUN OCT 20 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN 

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 20.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 21.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT 22.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN-E NEAR 14.0N 100.5W 1006 MB AT 
0300 UTC OCT 20 MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 7 KT. WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 
12N BETWEEN 97W AND 105W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SEVENTEEN-E NEAR 14.5N 101.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. SEAS TO 14 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 45 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 09N TO 12N 
BETWEEN 97W AND 102W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SEVENTEEN-E NEAR 15.2N 101.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN THE ARE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH 
SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 98W AND 102W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SEVENTEEN-E NEAR 16.1N 101.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN THE ARE OF TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 100W AND 104W SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SEVENTEEN-E NEAR 16.7N 101.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SEVENTEEN-E NEAR 17.1N 101.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SEVENTEEN-E NEAR 17.0N 103.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 0245 UTC SUN OCT 20...

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 
         
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA ENTERING THE 
PACIFIC WATERS NEAR THE GUATEMALA/MEXICO BORDER...THEN CONTINUES 
TO 1006 MB LOW PRES NEAR 14N100W TO 15N106W TO 1009 MB LOW PRES 
NEAR 10N117W TO 07N127W. ITCZ IS FROM 07N127W TO 08N135W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 90W 
AND 94W AND FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 100W AND 104W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.