000
FZPN03 KNHC 132134
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SUN OCT 13 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 15.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE AT 19.2N 112.7W 995 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 13
MOVING N-NW OR 335 DEG AT 11 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 55 
GUSTS 65 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE
QUADRANT...45 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER
...EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE NEAR 22.3N 113.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 GUSTS 55 KT.  LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS
OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 45 NM SW QUADRANT...
WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL DEPRESSION OCTAVE NEAR 24.6N 113.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 GUSTS 40 KT.  WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER
...EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT...WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW OCTAVE NEAR 25.1N
113.0W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW OCTAVE NEAR 26.0N
112.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 20 GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES AT 13N117W 1008 MB.  WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 180 NM SE
QUADRANTS  WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS TO 10 FT.  EXCEPT AS NOTED
IN OCTAVE WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 110W AND
120W  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
15N115W 1007 MB.  WITHIN 180 NM E AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLES  WINDS
20 TO 30 KT.  SEAS TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
17N115W 1007 MB.  WITHIN 120 NM E AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLES  WINDS
20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS TO 10 FT.

.LOW PRES AT 12N140W 1012 MB.  WITHIN 90 NM N QUADRANT  WINDS 20
KT OR LESS.  SEAS TO 8 FT IN NE SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST  LOW DISSIPATED.  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST  WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W
TO 14N96W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO
25 KT.  SEAS 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC SUN OCT 13...

.TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90
NM SW SEMICIRCLE AND FROM 20N TO 22N BETWEEN 110W AND 113W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 110N97W TO 15N106W THEN
RESUME FROM LOW PRES AT 12N117W TO 10N131W THEN ITCZ TO BEYOND
09N140W.  SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM S OF AXIS E OF 92W.

$$
.FORECASTER WALLY BARNES.  NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.