000
FZPN03 KNHC 072121
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC MON OCT 07 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 09.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NARDA NEAR 14.4N 123.7W 998 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 
07 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...30 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NARDA NEAR 15.4N 127.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NW AND 
120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NARDA NEAR 16.0N 129.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND WITHIN 90 NM 
S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM N AND 
120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NARDA NEAR 16.0N 130.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NARDA NEAR 16.0N 132.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW NARDA NEAR 16.0N 
134.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 16N95W TO 15N95.5W TO 14N97W...INCLUDING 
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 
14N97W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 16N95W TO 15N95.5W TO 
14N97W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 97W AND 100W NE 
TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 118W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC MON OCT 07...

.TROPICAL STORM NARDA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 
NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 11N 
BETWEEN 124W AND 132W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH 09N84W TO 08N90W TO 11N100W TO 11N106W TO 
15N116W. ITCZ 10N132W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 210 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 92W AND 96W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 90W 
AND 100W.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.