000
FZPN03 KNHC 071524
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON OCT 07 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 09.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NARDA NEAR 14.0N 122.5W 998 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 
07 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM 
SW QUADRANT...AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NARDA NEAR 15.1N 126.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND WITHIN 90 NM 
S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NARDA NEAR 16.1N 128.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND WITHIN 90 NM 
S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NARDA NEAR 16.5N 129.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NARDA NEAR 16.7N 130.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL NARDA NEAR 16.7N 132.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 16N95W TO 13N96W 
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 16N95W TO 14N95W 
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 
FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC MON OCT 07...

.TROPICAL STORM NARDA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 
NM NE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH 09N84W TO 10N90W TO 10N100W TO 14N114W. ITCZ  
09N134W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 06N TO 15N 
BETWEEN 90W AND 98W.

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.