000
FZPN03 KNHC 191548
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1630 UTC THU SEP 19 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 21.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MANUEL NEAR 25.0N 107.8W 987 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 19 
MOVING N OR 010 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 
80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 
50 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 40 NM SW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MANUEL INLAND NEAR 25.4N 
107.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MANUEL INLAND NEAR 25.9N 
107.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MANUEL NEAR 26.5N 
107.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.N OF 27N BETWEEN 118W AND 123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 
FT IN NW SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC THU SEP 19...

.HURRICANE MANUEL...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 70 NM OF 
COAST OF MEXICO FROM 23N TO 25N.  

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 95W AND 
103W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 15N101W TO 19N120W TO 11N130W. ITCZ FROM 
11N130W TO 09N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. 

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.