000
FZPN03 KNHC 182140
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
2230 UTC WED SEP 18 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED SEP 18.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP 19.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 20.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MANUEL NEAR 23.9N 108.1W 988 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP
18 MOVING NNW OR 335 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...20 NM SW QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. 
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MANUEL NEAR 25.0N 108.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 50 NM E SEMICIRCLE...20 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 75 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MANUEL NEAR THE COAST NEAR
25.4N 108.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 20 NM 
SW QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 75 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MANUEL NEAR 25.4N 109.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MANUEL NEAR 25.4N
109.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

,SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.N OF 28N BETWEEN 118W AND 124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC WED SEP 18...

.TROPICAL STORM MANUEL...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 
NM OF CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 16N98W TO 09N135W. ITCZ FROM 09N135W TO 
08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 13N TO 16N 
BETWEEN 95W AND 100W. 

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.