000
FZPN03 KNHC 180935
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1030 UTC WED SEP 18 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 18.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 19.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 20.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION MANUEL NEAR 23.2N 107.8W 1002 MB AT 0900 
UTC SEP 18 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 45 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MANUEL NEAR 24.1N 108.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 60 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 45 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MANUEL NEAR 24.5N 109.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
30 NM NE QUADRANT WITH HIGHEST SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 60 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 45 NM SW SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MANUEL NEAR 24.2N 110.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MANUEL NEAR 23.5N 
111.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.N OF 29N BETWEEN 118W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT 
IN NW TO N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N BETWEEN 118W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC WED SEP 18...

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION MANUEL...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER IN SE SEMICIRCLE.

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF COAST OF 
PANAMA BETWEEN 79W AND 83W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG NEAR GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 12N104W TO 10N130W TO 008N135W...THEN ITCZ 
TO 07N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION NOTED. 

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.