000
FZPN03 KNHC 180313
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
0430 UTC WED SEP 18 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED SEP 18.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU SEP 19.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI SEP 20.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION MANUEL NEAR 23.0N 107.7W 1002 MB AT 0300 
UTC SEP 18 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MANUEL NEAR 23.9N 109.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 20 NM NW QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 90 
NM E AND 45 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MANUEL NEAR 24.6N 110.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM E SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW 
QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 75 NM NE AND 30 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MANUEL INLAND NEAR 24.5N 
111.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MANUEL NEAR 23.9N 
111.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.N OF 29N BETWEEN 118W AND 121W NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 117W AND 124W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0300 UTC WED SEP 18...

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION MANUEL...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER IN S SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 14N106W TO 09N120W TO 11N127W TO 07N137W... 
THEN ITCZ TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 100 NM S OF 
TROUGH BETWEEN 106W AND 110W. 

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.