000
FZPN03 KNHC 160321
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON SEP 16 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON SEP 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE SEP 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED SEP 18.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION MANUEL NEAR 19.8N 104.9W 1000 MB AT 0300 
UTC SEP 16 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 120 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MANUEL NEAR 20.7N 
105.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...LOW DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16.5N100.5W TO 14N102W TO 
10N110W SW WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
150 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16.5N100.5W TO 14N102W TO 
09N112W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 07N TO 16.5N BETWEEN 93W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12.5N TO 15N BETWEEN 102W AND 105W SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE 
FROM 10N TO 19N BETWEEN 96W AND 108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 
16N96.5W TO 11N107.5W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW 
SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0215 UTC MON SEP 16...

.TROPICAL STORM MANUEL...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG OVER 
WATERS FROM 17N TO 20N BETWEEN 101.5W AND 107W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA NEAR 08N74W TO 
10.5N81.5W TO INTERIOR HONDURAS NEAR 14.5N87W WHERE IT REMAINS 
FRACTURED...THEN RESUMES FROM 16N105W TO 09N121W TO 08N134W TO 
07N137W....WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ...CONTINUING ON TO 
BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS 
NOTED WITHIN 90 NM OF THE COAST BETWEEN 80W AND 91W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 100 NM 
EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 17N101W TO 11N111W. 
 
$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.