000
FZPN03 KNHC 152136
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SUN SEP 15 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON SEP 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE SEP 17.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MANUEL NEAR 19.2N 104.3W 998 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 
15 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS TO 
12 FT WITHIN 90 NM SE QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 180 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
WITHIN 120 NM SW QUADRANT W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 
FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MANUEL INLAND NEAR 20.3N 
105.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 150 NM 
S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MANUEL NEAR 21.4N 
106.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 12 FT. WITHIN 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
 
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16.5N100.5W TO 14N102W TO 
10N110W SW WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
150 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16.5N100.5W TO 14N102W TO 
09N112W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 07N TO 16.5N BETWEEN 93W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 
15.5N99.5W TO 10N106.5W SW WIND 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN 
MIXED SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 19N BETWEEN 94W AND 111W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N97W 
TO 11N107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2045 UTC SUN SEP 15...

.TROPICAL STORM MANUEL...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG OVER 
WATERS FROM 16.5N TO 19N BETWEEN 101.5W AND 106W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA NEAR 07N74W TO 
10.5N81.5W TO INTERIOR HONDURAS NEAR 14.5N87W WHERE IT REMAINS 
FRACTURED...THEN RESUMES FROM 15.5N105W TO 09N121W TO 08N134W TO 
07N140W....WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED N OF 05N E OF 87W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF 
LINE FROM 17N101W TO 15N103.5W TO 11.5N111.5W. 
 
$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.