000
FZPN03 KNHC 150937
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SUN SEP 15 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN SEP 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON SEP 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE SEP 17.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MANUEL NEAR 17.9N 102.8W 985 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 
15 MOVING NNW OR 335 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE...45 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 16N104W TO 
16N98W TO 11N108W TO 12N108W TO 16N104W SW WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 12 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 
17N105W TO 15N93W TO 08N115W TO 17N105W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MANUEL INLAND NEAR 19.9N 
104.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN AREA 
BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 18N104W TO 15N95W TO 08N112W TO 11N112W 
TO 18N104W WIND 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SW 
SWELL...HIGHEST FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 98W AND 103W.
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MANUEL NEAR 20.6N 
105.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. WITHIN AREA 
BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 17N105W TO 15N95W TO 09N110W TO 17N105W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST...MANUEL DISSIPATED. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY A 
LINE FROM 17N101W TO 16N95W TO 10N108W TO 17N101W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.
 
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC SUN SEP 15...

.TROPICAL STORM MANUEL...WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE 
QUADRANT...AND 180 NM SW QUADRANT OF THE CENTER OF MANUEL
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 07N91W...THEN RESUMES 
FROM 16N105W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG 
CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 120 NM S AND 90 NM N OF AXIS E OF 85W.
 
$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.