000
FZPN03 KNHC 142146
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SAT SEP 14 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON SEP 16.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM MANUEL NEAR 16.8N 102.5W 994 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP
14 MOVING NNW OR 345 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE
QUADRANT...210 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...330 
NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM NW AND 480 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT...HIGHEST SE. 
FROM 08.5N TO 12N BETWEEN 107W AND 113W SW TO W WINDS 25 TO 30 
KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 
12.5N BETWEEN 106W AND 118W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 92W AND 120W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MANUEL INLAND NEAR 19.1N
103.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 20 NM W SEMICIRCLE...30 NM NE QUADRANT 
AND 210 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 330 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE 
OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 270 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 100W AND 112W SW 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE 
FROM 08N TO 13N BETWEEN 104W AND 114W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
TO 9 FT. REMAINDER OR AREA FROM 06.5N TO 17N BETWEEN 93W AND 
116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MANUEL NEAR 20.3N 
104.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. OVER FORECAST 
WATERS FROM 13N TO 19N BETWEEN 100W AND 107W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL. FROM 09N TO 14N 
BETWEEN 107W AND 112W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN 
MIXED SW SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 93W 
AND 113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...LOW DISSIPATED. FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 95W 
AND 103W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT IN SW SWELL. FROM 
09N TO 13N BETWEEN 103W AND 110W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 09N TO 20N BETWEEN 94W AND 112W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2115 UTC SAT SEP 14...

.TROPICAL STORM MANUEL...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 45 NM NE AND 
90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES.

.SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 12.5N TO 18N BETWEEN 
96.5W AND 104W. SCATTERED STRONG FROM 10.5N TO 17N BETWEEN 104W 
AND 111W. 
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA NEAR 08N73W AND 
MEANDERS THROUGH 15N87W...AND HAS FRACTURED FROM T.S. INGRID IN 
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. THE TROUGH RESUMES TO THE SW OF T.S. MANUEL 
NEAR 14N105W TO LOW PRES NEAR 11.5N116W 1006 MB TO 10N137W... 
WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ...CONTINUING BEYOND 10N140W. NO 
OTHER SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.
 
$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.