000
FZPN03 KNHC 141614
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT SEP 14 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 14.                            
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 15.                     
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 16.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MANUEL NEAR 16.2N 102.4W 994 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 
14 MOVING N AT 05 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE 
QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS 
TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N 
TO 16N BETWEEN 95W AND 116W SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 17N105W TO 17N100W 
TO 16N94W TO 08N100W TO 07N112W TO 17N105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MANUEL JUST INLAND NEAR 18.3N 
103.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL 
STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE 
QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 60 NM SE QUADRANT OF 
CENTER WITH HIGHEST SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 90 NM SE AND 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 16.5N BETWEEN 97W AND 
105W SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 15 FT. WITHIN 120 NM 
EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 11.5N105W TO 09N113W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT IN SW SWELL. FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 94W AND 
97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.          
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MANUEL WEAKENING INLAND 
NEAR 20.5N 104.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. 
WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 15N99W TO 12N104W TO 
10N106W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 18N105W TO 16N96W TO 09N109W TO 
18N105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SW AND W 
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 
 
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1545 UTC SAT SEP 14...

.TROPICAL STORM MANUEL...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 
NM NE AND E QUADRANTS.

SCATTREED STRONG TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 102W 
AND 106W. SCATTERED STRONG N OF 15N BETWEEN 93W AND 102W.
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 12N112W 09N121W TO 10N140W. NO  
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS NOTED.
 
$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.