000
FZPN03 KNHC 140931
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SAT SEP 14 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT SEP 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN SEP 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON SEP 16.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM MANUEL NEAR 15.3N 102.4W 996 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 
14 STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 0 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM W SEMICIRCLE...90 
NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 12 TO 
14 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 96W AND 103W SW WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE 
FROM 17N105W TO 17N100W TO 15N93W TO 08N100W TO 08N112W TO 
17N105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MANUEL NEAR 17.1N 103.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER WITH 
HIGHEST SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 97W AND 105W 
SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 16N103W TO 14N93W TO 09N100W TO 08N115W 
TO 16N103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MANUEL INLAND NEAR 19.3N 
104.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. OVER WATER 
FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 97W AND 110W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
10 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 
17N105W TO 17N100W TO 15N95W TO 08N112W TO 17N105W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SW SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 
 
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0915 UTC SAT SEP 14...

.TROPICAL STORM MANUEL...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION 
WITHIN 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLE OF MANUEL. 
STRONG CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 22N BETWEEN 105W AND 107W. 
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF 
COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 90W AND 100W.
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                

MONSOON TROUGH FROM TROPICAL STORM MANUEL TO 09N140W. NO 
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH W OF 
ENVIRONMENT AROUND MANUEL.
 
$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.