000
FZPN03 KNHC 010245
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC THU AUG 01 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU AUG 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI AUG 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT AUG 03.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE GIL AT 14.2N 121.8W 990 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 01 MOVING
W-NW OR 285 DEG AT 10 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 70 GUSTS 85 KT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 50 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES
WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N AND WITHIN 120 NM
S SEMICIRCLES  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GIL NEAR 14.9N 125.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 N AND 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 30 FT.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM N AND
120 NM S SEMICIRCLES  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GIL NEAR 15.4N 128.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 240 NM N AND WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES  WINDS TO 33 KT.
SEAS TO 12 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GIL NEAR 15.5N 132.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GIL NEAR 15.5N 135.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GIL NEAR 15.5N 138.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES 13N113W 1008 MB.  WITHIN 60 NM N AND WITHIN 30 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES  WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
13N116W 1008 MB.  WITHIN 90 NM N AND WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
13N119W 1008 MB.  LITTLE CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS.
 
.FROM 13N TO 18N W OF 130W  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  FROM 12N TO 18N W OF 132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 18N W OF 135W  WINDS 20
KT OR LESS.  SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.
 
CONVECTION VALID 0300 UTC THU AUG 01...

.HURRICANE GIL...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF N AND 75 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES.  SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER. 

.LOW PRES CENTER AT 13N113W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLE. 

.LOW PRES 12N126W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 
90 NM NW QUADRANT. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 09N84W TO 10N104W TO 1009 MB LOW PRES
13N113W.  ITCZ AXIS FROM 12N124W TO 11N130W TO 09N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 06N-10N E OF 89W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 240 NM N AND 75 NM S OF AXIS
FROM 127W TO 132W.  
   
$$
.FORECASTER WALLY BARNES.  NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.