000
FZPN03 KNHC 081607 CCA
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON JUL 08 2013

CORRECTED CONVECTION SECTION

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON JUL 08.                            
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUL 09.                     
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL 10.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 22.2N 110.0W 1001 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 
08 MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE 
...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...75 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NE 
AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERICK NEAR 24.3N 113.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 
WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ERICK NEAR 25.6N 
116.2W. WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS
TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ERICK NEAR 26.0N 
118.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED 

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.S OF 02N BETWEEN 92W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 9 FT IN 
S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 09N BETWEEN 92W AND 111W...S OF 06N 
BETWEEN 111W AND 116W AND ALSO S OF 04N BETWEEN 116W AND 125W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 03N BETWEEN 110W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S SWELL.
 
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 1545 UTC MON JUL 08...CORRECTED

.TROPICAL STORM ERICK...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 60 NM N QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 
NM N QUADRANT.

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH FROM 
03N TO 08N E OF 87W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF 12N120W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N85W TO 09N91W TO 09N103W 
...THEN RESUMES FROM REMNANT LOW PRES NEAR 17N112W 1008 MB TO 
10N131W WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO THE ITCZ AXIS TO 08N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG  WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE 
TROUGH BETWEEN 102W AND 106W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM S 
OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W AND 130W. 
 
$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.