000
FZPN03 KNHC 072140
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SUN JUL 07 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUL 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON JUL 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUL 09.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 20.3N 108.1W 996 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 
07 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT 
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 40 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE 
AND SW QUADRANTS...75 NM NW QUADRANT AND 100 NM SE QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 22 FT.ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM S AND 
120 NM N SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 
15N TO 18N BETWEEN 103W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 22.0N 111.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
40 NM SW QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 120 NM 
NE SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ERICK NEAR 23.9N 
114.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ERICK NEAR 25.0N 
117.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DALILA NEAR 17N113W 1007 MB DRIFTING 
SE. WITHIN 60 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW WEAKENING NEAR 17N112W. WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 03N BETWEEN 93W AND 116W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 10N E OF 114W...EXCEPT S OF 06N BETWEEN 
86W AND 92W...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL. 
 
.FROM 18N TO 25N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN  
NE TO E SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC SUN JUL 07...

.TROPICAL STORM ERICK...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 19N TO 21N BETWEEN 
107W AND 108W ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE CYCLONE. SCATTERED 
STRONG WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 19N104W 17N105W 
15N106W...AND FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 106W AND 112W.

NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 16N BETWEEN 113W 
AND 115W WITH POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DALILA.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N75W TO 09N83W TO 08N95W
TO 11N101W...THEN RESUMES FROM 17N113W TO 10N120W 10N126W BEYOND
07N140W. SCATTERED STRONG FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN 79W AND 81W...
FROM 09N TO 10N BETWEEN 99W AND 100W...FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN
106W AND 118W...FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 128W AND 131W...AND FROM
06N TO 08N BETWEEN 138W AND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG FROM 05N TO 06N BETWEEN 86W AND 89W...FROM 11N TO 14N
BETWEEN 92W AND 97W. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM
08N TO 13N BETWEEN 118W AND 124W.

$$
.FORECASTER MT. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.