000
FZPN03 KNHC 071608
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1630 UTC SUN JUL 07 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUL 07.                             
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON JUL 08.                    
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUL 09.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 20.0N 107.3W 989 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 
07 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE 
AND SW QUADRANTS...90 NM NW QUADRANT AND 100 NM SE QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM S 
AND 120 NM N SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN 103W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 21.9N 110.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM NE AND 60 
NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 120 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL ERICK NEAR 24.0N 113.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 30 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS 
TO 14 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL ERICK POST-TROP/REMNANT LOW NEAR 
25.5N 117.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL ERICK POST-TROP/REMNANT LOW NEAR 
25.5N 119.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DALILA NEAR 17N113W 1007 MB DRIFTING 
SE. WITHIN 60 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW WEAKENING NEAR 17.5N 112W. WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 04N BETWEEN 93W AND 117W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 08N BETWEEN 80W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL. 
 
.FROM 18N TO 25N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN  
NE TO E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 17N TO 24N W OF 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST FROM 18N TO 23N W OF 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 1545 UTC SUN JUL 07...

.TROPICAL STORM RICK...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM S AND SW 
QUADRANTS.

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 45 NM OF 12N92W...AND 
30 NM OF 13N95W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N106W TO 
12N110.5W 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 08N90W TO 11N10W. 
IT RESUMES FROM THE 1007 MB REMNANT LOW OF DALILA NEAR 17N113W 
TO 10N127W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM S OF 
AXIS BETWEEN 97W AND 100W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.