000
FZPN03 KNHC 070937
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1030 UTC SUN JUL 07 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN JUL 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON JUL 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUL 09.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ERICK NEAR 19.2N 106.5W 984 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 07 
MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT 
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 40 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE 
AND SW QUADRANTS...AND 90 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 26 
FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM S AND 120 NM N 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 100W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 21.2N 109.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
90 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 23.3N 112.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
75 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM SW SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ERICK NEAR 24.8N 
116.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ERICK NEAR 25.0N 
119.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.POST TROPICAL CYCLONE DALILA NEAR 16.8N 113.0W 1007 MB AT 0900 
UTC JUL 07 MOVING SE OR 135 DEG AT 1 KT. WITHIN 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DALILA NEAR 17.1N 
112.3W. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DALILA NEAR 18.0N 
112.1W. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

.36 HOUR FORECAST S OF 04N BETWEEN 90W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 08N BETWEEN 80W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL. 
 
.N OF 23N BETWEEN 125W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 
FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC SUN JUL 07...

.HURRICANE ERICK...NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 
NM OF THE CENTER OF ERICK...AS WELL AS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE COAST 
OF NAYARIT FROM 20N TO 23N.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 09N94W TO 
12N98W...THEN CONTINUES FROM THE REMNANT LOW OF DALILA NEAR 
17N113W TO 12N116W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION 
NOTED FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W...AND FROM 09N TO 
10N BETWEEN 113W AND 121W.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.