000
FZPN03 KNHC 070330
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
0430 UTC SUN JUL 07 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN JUL 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON JUL 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE JUL 09.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ERICK NEAR 18.7N 105.7W 984 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 07 
MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT 
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT 
AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM S AND 120 NM N SEMICIRCLES WINDS 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 20.8N 108.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
90 NM N AND AND WITHIN 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 26 FEET. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N AND 120 S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 22.9N 111.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
60 NM N AND AND WITHIN 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 22 FEET. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ERICK NEAR 24.5N 
115.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ERICK NEAR 24.8N 
119.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION DALILA NEAR 16.8N 113.0W 1006 MB AT 0300 
UTC JUL 07 MOVING E OR 090 DEG AT 1 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 90 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 
9 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.                                   
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DALILA NEAR 16.9N 
112.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT 
WITHIN 60 NM NW QUADRANT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DALILA NEAR 18.0N 
112.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 15 KT GUSTS 20 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 05N BETWEEN 93W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL. 
 
.N OF 23N BETWEEN 123W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 
FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 0200 UTC SUN JUL 07...

.HURRICANE ERICK...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 17N TO 19N BETWEEN 105W 
AND 107W...FROM 19N TO 20N BETWEEN 106W AND 107W...AND IN MEXICO 
COASTAL PLAINS FROM 20N TO 22N BETWEEN 104W AND 106W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 103W AND 
116W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
MONSOON TROUGH FROM SOUTHERN COSTA RICA NEAR 09N84W TO 10N86W TO 
08N92W TO 14N100W...THEN RESUMES FROM 15N114W TO 10N125W TO 
08N133W BEYOND 08N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 07N TO 09N BETWEEN 
133W AND 137W. SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 
14N93W 10N96W...AND FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 100W AND 102W.

$$
.FORECASTER MT. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.