000 FZPN03 KNHC 061612 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC SAT JUL 06 2013 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUL 06. .24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUL 07. .48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON JUL 08. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE ERICK NEAR 17.7N 104.3W 984 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 06 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM S AND 120 NM N SEMICIRCLES WINDS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERICK NEAR 19.7N 106.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND AND WITHIN 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 26 FEET. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N AND 120 S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 22.1N 110.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N AND AND WITHIN 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 22 FEET. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL ERICK NEAR 23.5N 113.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL ERICK POST-TROP/REMNANT LOW NEAR 25.0N 117.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL ERICK POST-TROP/REMNANT LOW NEAR 25.0N 121.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST .TROPICAL DEPRESSION DALILA NEAR 17.0N 113.1W 1007 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 06 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 1 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 90 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DALILA NEAR 17.0N 113.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT WITHIN 60 NM NW QUADRANT. .48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DALILA NEAR 17.0N 114.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .AREA BOUNDED BY LINE FROM 06N130W TO 16N97W TO 00N80W TO 00N130W TO 06N130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL. .18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .N OF 24N BETWEEN 121W AND 133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN N SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 23N BETWEEN 124W AND 133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN N SWELL. .30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID 1545 UTC SAT JUL 06... .HURRICANE ERICK...NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE NW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NE QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM SE AND S QUADRANTS. SCATTERED STRONG FROM 19N TO 22N BETWEEN 105W AND 107W. .TROPICAL DEPRESSION DALILA...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM SW QUADRANT. .SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 111W AND 118W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W THROUGH WESTERN PANAMA AND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA TO 08N90W AND TO 1099W. IT THEN RESUMES FROM 12N118W TO 09N130W TO 09N138W. ITCZ FROM 09N138W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 84W AND 85W TO ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS WITHIN 60 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 87W AND 90W ...AND ALSO WITHIN 60 NM S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 128W AND 130W. $$ .FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.