000
FZPN03 KNHC 022143
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
2230 UTC TUE JUL 02 2013

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUL 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED JUL 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU JUL 04.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DALILA AT 18.4N 107.2W 987 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 02
MOVE W-NW OR 290 DEG AT 2 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 65 GUSTS
80 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 60 NM N AND 40 NM S
SEMICIRCLES.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 21 FT.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SE
AND 90 NM SW QUADRANTS  WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE DALILA NEAR 18.0N 108.1W.  MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND 65 GUSTS 80 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN
70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES 
WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.   ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER  WINDS
TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM DALILA NEAR 17.5N 109.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 60 GUSTS 75 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 23 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM DALILA NEAR 17.5N 111.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 60 GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM DALILA NEAR 18.0N 113.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 40 GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DALILA NEAR 18.5N
116.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.LOW PRES 12.4N93.9W 1009 MB.  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...13N96W
1007 MB.  WITHIN 30 NM NW SEMICIRCLE  WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...14N99W
1005 MB.  WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE  WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 9 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST  S OF 03S FROM 108W TO 128W  WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS.  SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  S OF 04N W OF 96W  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC TUE JUL 02...

.HURRICANE DALILA...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM
OF CENTER.

.LOW PRES 12.4N93.9W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM
NW SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...           
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 10N86W TO LOW PRES 1009 MB AT 12N94W
TO 17N100W.  IT THEN RESUMES FROM 16N120W TO 11N129W THEN ITCZ
AXIS TO 10N132W TO BEYOND 11N140W.  SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG N OF 07N E OF 100W AND WITHIN 180 NM S OF AXIS W OF 120W. 

$$
.FORECASTER WALLY BARNES. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.