000
FZPN03 KNHC 010918
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC THU NOV 01 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU NOV 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI NOV 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT NOV 03.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ROSA NEAR 14.1N 118.3W 1000 MB AT 0900 UTC NOV 
01 MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT 
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT 
AND 45 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ROSA NEAR 13.9N 118.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 45 
NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ROSA NEAR 13.4N 118.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 45 
NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ROSA NEAR 14.0N 119.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ROSA NEAR 15.0N
119.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ROSA NEAR 17.0N
120.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM N AND 150 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES OF ROSA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 20N BETWEEN 115W AND 124W NE WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS WITHIN 210 NM N 
AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF ROSA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 20N BETWEEN 118W AND 128W WINDS 20 OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS WITHIN 240 NM N 
AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF ROSA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 18N BETWEEN 120W AND 135W WINDS 20 OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL.

.COLD FRONT FROM 30N131W TO 26N140W. NW OF FRONT WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING COLD FRONT 30N127W TO 27N135W. NW OF 
FRONT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC NOV 01...

.T.S. ROSA NEAR 14.1N 118.2W...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 210 NM SE SEMICIRCLE.

.LOW PRES NEAR 15N110W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 150 NM SE QUADRANT. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO 08N100W TO LOW PRES NEAR 
15N110W 1009 MB TO 16N113W THEN RESUMES W OF T.S. ROSA FROM 
12N120W TO LOW PRES NEAR 14N129W 1011 MB. ITCZ AXIS CONTINUES 
FROM LOW PRES NEAR 14N129W TO ANOTHER LOW PRES NEAR 11N134W 1009 
MB TO BEYOND 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM N OF 
TROUGH FROM 12N TO 15N...WITHIN 60 NM S OF ROUGH BETWEEN 123W 
AND 126W AND FROM 10N TO 12.5N BETWEEN 132W AND 136W. 

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.