000 FZPN03 KNHC 162126 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2230 UTC TUE OCT 16 2012 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 16. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 17. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 18. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE PAUL NEAR 24.7N 112.4W 980 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 16 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM W SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...270 NM SE QUADRANT... 150 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 33 FT. .12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PAUL INLAND NEAR 26.5N 112.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PAUL INLAND NEAR 28.0N 113.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 150 NM E QUADRANT AND 180 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW PAUL NEAR 29.5N 117.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. .72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PAUL WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER OF PAUL WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 17N BETWEEN 106W AND 110W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 27N BETWEEN 105W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PAUL WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT... 120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT OF PAUL WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 24N BETWEEN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PAUL WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER OF PAUL WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. ELSEWHERE BETWEEN 120 AND 300 NM SE QUADRANT...AND WITHIN 300 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF PAUL WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. .N OF 24N BETWEEN 122W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N BETWEEN 118W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N BETWEEN 120W AND 134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. .FROM 12N TO 22N W OF 133W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE WIND WAVES AND NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 22N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN PRIMARILY NW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 20N W OF 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NE WIND WAVES AND NW SWELL. .36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N94.5W TO 14N95W... INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN 82W AND 89W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC MON OCT 15... .HURRICANE PAUL...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 NM N AND NE QUADRANTS. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 09N78W TO 11N91W TO 10N100W TO 13N108W THEN RESUMES NEAR 14N114W TO 09N130W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N130W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 240 NM S OF MONSOON TROUGH E OF 87W...WITHIN 120 NM S OF A LINE FROM 10N101W TO 18N112W...AND WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 115W AND 120W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF ITCZ W OF 134W. $$ .FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.