000
FZPN03 KNHC 160300
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC TUE OCT 16 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED OCT 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU OCT 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE PAUL NEAR 20.0N 113.6W 967 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 16 
MOVING NNE OR 015 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT 
GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE...80 NM 
SE...60 NM SW AND 50 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 270 NM SE 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 34 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PAUL NEAR 24.8N 112.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE...90 NM SE...70 NM SW AND 60 NM NW QUADRANTS. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE...150 NM NE 
QUADRANT AND 270 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PAUL INLAND NEAR 28.1N 113.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE...40 NM SE...20 NM SW AND 30 NM NW 
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...
210 NM SE QUADRANT AND 150 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW PAUL NEAR 30.5N
119.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 300 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES OF PAUL WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 110W AND 118W SW WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 
118W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM NW 
AND 300 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF PAUL WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 18N TO 22N BETWEEN 107W AND 115W SW WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N 
TO 18N BETWEEN 108W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM NW 
AND 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF PAUL WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 22N TO 28N BETWEEN 
108W AND 115W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 17N BETWEEN 107W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.FROM 11N TO 18N W OF 135W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 18N W OF 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 122W AND 128W N WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF LINE FROM 30N118W TO 
18N135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N BETWEEN 118W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.

.GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0215 UTC MON OCT 15...

.HURRICANE PAUL...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM S AND 
60 NM N SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 18N BETWEEN 111W AND 115W. CUSTER 
OF MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION TO THE N OF PAUL FROM 
21N TO 23N BETWEEN 111W AND 113W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N85W TO 10N100W TO 12N105W RESUMES SW OF 
PAUL FROM 14N118W TO 10N134W. ITCZ AXIS FROM 10N134W TO 09N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE NEAR 10N98W AND NEAR 10.5N105W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 114W AND 120W.  

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.