000
FZPN03 KNHC 071546
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SUN OCT 07 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 09.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA NEAR 14.5N 121.0W 998 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT
07 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE
QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...15 
NM SE AND 45 NM SW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA NEAR 16.1N 121.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
90 NM NE...15 NM SE...45 NM SW...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH 
SEAS TO 20 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA NEAR 16.8N 122.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE...AND 15 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA NEAR 16.4N 123.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLIVIA NEAR 15.9N 125.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW OLIVIA NEAR 15.3N
128.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN OLIVIA WARNING...WITHIN 210 NM NW AND 180 NM 
SE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED OLIVIA WARNING...WITHIN 210 NM 
NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED OLIVIA WARNING...WITHIN 300 NM 
NW AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 
12 FT.

.N OF 28N E OF 117.5W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 

.WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N94.5W TO 14.5N95W... 
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N94.5W 
TO 14N95W TO 13.5N96.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N 
TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE IN WINDS. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.FROM 04N TO 08N BETWEEN 88W AND 94W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 04N TO 08N BETWEEN 92W AND 102W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST DEVELOPING LOW PRES NEAR 10N89W 1009 MB. FROM 
06N TO 09N BETWEEN 87W AND 92W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT. FROM 04N TO 08N BETWEEN 96W AND 108W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SUN OCT 07...

.TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM N OF 
CENTER. BROKEN BANDS WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER ARE DEFINED
BY SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE
10N122W TO 09N126W...WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 15N121W 16N120W
AND WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 14N117W TO 11N119W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N85W TO 09N99W TO 11N111W WHERE IT 
ENDS. IT RESUMES SW OF TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA AT 11N124W TO 
08N134W WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO THE ITCZ AXIS TO 09N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE TROUGH
BETWEEN 85W AND 90W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE TROUGH W OF 124W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.