000
FZPN03 KNHC 062108
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SAT OCT 06 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT 06.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT 07.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT 08.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA NEAR 13.9N 119.6W 1004 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT
06 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. HIGHEST 
SEAS 12 FT WITHIN 60 NM OVER N SEMICIRCLE.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA NEAR 15.2N 121.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND 30 
NM S SEMICIRCLES. HIGHEST SEAS 15 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA NEAR 16.1N 122.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 45 
NM S SEMICIRCLES. HIGHEST SEAS 18 FT.  
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA NEAR 16.1N 123.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA NEAR 15.8N 125.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW OLIVIA NEAR 15.5N
126.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN OLIVIA WARNING...WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
OF CENTER WINDS NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
WITHIN 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED OLIVIA WARNING...WITHIN 300 NM 
NW AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED OLIVIA WARNING...WITHIN 360 NM 
NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.

.N OF 27N E OF 118W NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 

.12 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N94.5W 
TO 14N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N94.5W 
TO 15N95W TO 14N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO 
NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC SAT OCT 06...

.TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 
SW SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 240 NM N AND 
390 NM NE QUADRANTS.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH 09N83W TO 08N101W TO 11N108W...RESUMES SW OF TS 
OLIVIA AT 12N121W TO 08N126W. ITCZ AXIS 08N126W TO 06N130W TO 
09N137W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 
150 NM OF LINE 07N78W TO 09N89W. ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 NM 
LINE 09N89W TO 10N106W.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.