000 FZPN03 KNHC 061521 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC SAT OCT 06 2012 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT OCT 06. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT 07. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 08. .WARNINGS. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 14.0N 118.7W 1006 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 06 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 15.0N 120.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 25 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 150 NM NE QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 16.0N 122.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE...60 NM SE...0 NM SW...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 16.5N 122.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FIFTEEN-E NEAR 16.5N 123.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FIFTEEN-E NEAR 16.5N 124.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .IN ASSOCIATION WITH T.D. FIFTEEN-E...LOW PRES NEAR 14N118.7W WITH MONSOON TROUGH FROM LOW EXTENDING NE TO BEYOND 17N113W AND EXTENDING SE TO BEYOND 09N123W. WITHIN 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLE OF LOW NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE NW OF TROUGH TO 18N BETWEEN 113W AND 118W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. SE OF LOW AND TROUGH FROM 07N TO 14N BETWEEN 114W AND 121W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN T.D. FIFTEEN-E WARNING... WITHIN 270 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. WITHIN 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN T.D. FIFTEEN-E WARNING... WITHIN 300 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. WITHIN 210 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. .WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N94.5W... INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N94.5W TO 15N95W TO 13.5N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. .12 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27.5N E OF 118W TO W COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28.5N E OF 117.5W TO W COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SAT OCT 06... .T.D. FIFTEEN-E NEAR 14N118.7W...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 270 NM NE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM SW QUADRANT. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N75W TO 08.5N97W TO 10N107W WHERE IT FRACTURES...THEN RESUMES FROM 17N111W THROUGH THE T.D. FIFTEEN-E AT 14N118.7W THROUGH LOW PRES NEAR 08.5N124W 1008 MB TO 08N128W...WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ...CONTINUING ON TO 09.5N134W TO BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 180 NM S OF THE TROUGH E OF 107W. $$ .FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.