000
FZPN03 KNHC 170311
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON SEP 17 2012
 
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON SEP 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE SEP 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED SEP 19.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LANE NEAR 15.0N 125.8W 995 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 17
MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM E AND 30 NM
W SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...
60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LANE NEAR 16.0N 126.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM E AND 400 NM W SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 21 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LANE NEAR 17.7N 127.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 
SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LANE NEAR 20.3N 130.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS AND 40 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LANE NEAR 20.7N 
132.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LANE NEAR 20.0N 
136.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LANE WARNING...WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT
...180 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS...AND 300 NM SW QUADRANT OF
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 
11N BETWEEN 123W AND 130W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 
FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LANE WARNING....WITHIN 240 
NM NE AND SE QUADRANTS..AND 180 NM SW AND NW QUADRANTS OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LANE WARNING...WITHIN 240 
NM NE QUADRANT...270 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS AND 180 NM SW 
QUADRANT OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LANE WARNING...WITHIN 240 E 
SEMICIRCLE...180 NM SW QUADRANT AND 240 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY NEAR 25.3N 119.2W 1008 MB AT 0300 UTC
SEP 17 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 
KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT
9 TO 14 FT WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KRISTY NEAR 26.5N 
119.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 120 NM 
SE AND 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KRISTY NEAR 26.5N 
118.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT NEAR CENTER. 
WITHIN 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW DISSIPATED.

.LOW PRES NEAR 12N133W 1009 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. WITHIN 120 NM 
SE SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 12N133W 1010 MB. LITTLE CHANGE IN
WINDS AND SEAS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
MERGED WITH AREA DESCRIBED IN LANE WARNING.

.N OF 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.03 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
 
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 MON SEP 17...
.TROPICAL STORM LANE...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND
WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 13N125W TO 15N124W.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY...NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS 
NOTED.

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF 14N104W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM SOUTHERN COSTA RICA TO 10N95W TO 
08N108W TO 12N118W WHERE IT ENDS. IT THEN RESUMES AT LOW PRES
NEAR 12N133W 1009 MB TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG S 
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH FROM 05N TO 09N E OF 86W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE FROM 06N91W TO 
06N86W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE MONSOON TROUGH W 
OF 137W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.