000
FZPN03 KNHC 161510
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SUN SEP 16 2012
 
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LANE NEAR 13.8N 125.1W 999 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 16
MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NE
QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 20 NM NW
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60
NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LANE NEAR 15.7N 127.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 
60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LANE NEAR 18.6N 129.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LANE NEAR 20.2N 131.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LANE NEAR 20.0N
134.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LANE NEAR 19.3N
138.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 24.5N 117.9W 1004 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP
16 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE
QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...60
NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KRISTY NEAR 26.1N 
118.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KRISTY NEAR 27.2N 
118.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LANE WARNING...WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 11N BETWEEN 
123W AND 130W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LANE WARNING...WITHIN 300 
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LANE WARNING...WITHIN 240 
OF CENTER...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KRISTY WARNING...WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KRISTY WARNING...WITHIN 120 
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 90 NM OF REMNANT LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM OF REMNANT LOW WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT.

.LOW PRES 12N133W 1010 MB. WITHIN 90 NM N AND 150 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N133W 1010 MB. WITHIN 90 NM 
SE AND 45 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 
9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
MERGED WITH AREA DESCRIBED IN LANE WARNING.

.N OF 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.03 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
 
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1315 UTC SUN SEP 16...
.TROPICAL STORM LANE...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM 
E AND 45 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WITH SCATTERED MODERATE 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM S QUADRANT.

.TROPICAL STORM KRISTY...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM N AND 
120 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER.

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 03N TO 08N E OF 80W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS 10N84W TO 10N105W TO 13N111W THEN CONTINUES 
FROM 13N130W TO LOW PRES NEAR 12N133W TO 10N135W TO 10N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM NE AND 120 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES OF LOW PRES. ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 300 
NM N AND 330 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 105W.

$$
.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.