000
FZPN03 KNHC 151534
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT SEP 15 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 17.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 22.4N 115.0W 1002 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP
15 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...150 NM NE 
QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY NEAR 24.5N 117.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KRISTY NEAR 26.0N 
119.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E NEAR 14.0N 123.5W 1003 MB AT 1500
UTC SEP 15 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWELVE-E NEAR 14.5N 125.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
90 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WITH SEAS 
TO 16 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWELVE-E NEAR 16.4N 127.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E NEAR 19.0N 
130.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW TWELVE-E NEAR 20.5N
131.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW TWELVE-E NEAR 21.5N
132.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KRISTY WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NE 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 90 NM OF REMNANT LOW WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TWELVE WARNING...WITHIN 150 NM E AND WITHIN 
210 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TWELVE WARNING...WITHIN 
210 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TWELVE WARNING...WITHIN 210 
NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 270 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.

.LOW PRES 13N134W 1011 MB. WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
 
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1415 UTC SAT SEP 15...
.TROPICAL STORM KRISTY...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 
30 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 210 NM S QUADRANT.

.SCATTERED MODERATE GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 25N TO 29N.

.SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM OF COAST BETWEEN 91W AND 93W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 08N78W TO 08N104W TO 09N115W TO 08N119W 
THEN CONTINUES FROM 12N124W TO 11N126W TO LOW PRES NEAR 13N134W 
TO 12N135W. ITCZ AXIS FROM 12N135W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE S OF AXIS TO 04N E OF 80W...WITHIN 150 NM N OF AXIS 
BETWEEN 85W AND 88W...WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 
98W AND 103W...WITHIN 330 NM N AND 240 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 103W 
AND 108W...AND WITHIN 120 NM N AND 300 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 113W 
AND 119W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 75 NM NW 
QUADRANTS OF LOW PRES.
 
$$
.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.