000
FZPN03 KNHC 150306
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SAT SEP 15 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT SEP 15
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN SEP 16
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON SEP 17

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 21.2N 113.8W 1001 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 
15 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT
...50 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE 
QUADRANT...45 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 
18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 23.1N 116.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW 
QUADRANT AND 20 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
150 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 
120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KRISTY NEAR 25.1N
118.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT NEAR CENTER. 
SEAS LESS THAN 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KRISTY NEAR 26.5N
118.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KRISTY NEAR 27.0N 
117.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...240
NM SE QUADRANT....90 NM SW AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT OF KRISTY 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM NE 
QUADRANT...120 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS...AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT OF 
KRISTY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF 
REMNANT LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 14N122W 1007 MB MOVING SW 10 KT. WITHIN 150 NM NW 
AND 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF LOW WINDS S 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
14N124W 1006 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS TO 9 FT. WITHIN 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
15N127W 1004 MB. WITHIN 210 NM NW AND 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.LOW PRES 13N134W 1011 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. WITHIN 180 NM NW AND
150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N134W 1011 MB. LITTLE CHANGE 
IN WINDS AND SEAS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N135W 1011 MB. WITHIN 180 NM 
NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 90 NM FROM COAST N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0315 UTC SAT SEP 15...

.TROPICAL STORM KRISTY...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM SE 
QUADRANT.

.LOW PRES 14N122W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 
150 NM SW QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 08N96W TO 10N114W WHERE IT 
ENDS. IT CONTINUES AGAIN JUST SW OF THE LOW AT 14N122W TO 12N122W
TO LOW PRES NEAR 13N134W AND TO 11N140W. SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN
120 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 109W AND 114W.
 
$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.