000
FZPN03 KNHC 140316
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC FRI SEP 14 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI SEP 14
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT SEP 15
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN SEP 16

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 19.7N 111.1W 1000 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 
14 MOVING W NW OR 295 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT...300 NM 
SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 21.2N 113.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE...20 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30 
NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 23.5N 117.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW QUADRANT AND
90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KRISTY NEAR 25.3N 
119.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KRISTY NEAR 26.5N 
119.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KRISTY NEAR 26.5N 
117.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...180 
NM SE QUADRANT...75 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT OF 
KRISTY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT OF KRISTY
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM 
NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF KRISTY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 15N118W 1008 MB MOVING SW 11 KT. WITHIN 120 NM NW
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
14N122W 1006 MB. WITHIN 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
14N124W 1006 MB. WITHIN 120 NM OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
8 TO 10 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0315 UTC FRI SEP 14...

.TROPICAL STORM KRISTY...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER IN SE QUADRANT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 15N118W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 
NM SW QUADRANT.

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 129W AND
137W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 07N95W TO 09N105W TO
08N115W WHERE IT ENDS. IT THEN RESUMES AT 13N119W TO 12N127W. 
THE ITCZ BEGINS AT 10N138W AND CONTINUES TO BEYOND 09N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE 
MONSOON TROUGH E OF 88W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.