000
FZPN03 KNHC 132141
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU SEP 13 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP 13
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 14
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 15

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 19.3N 110.2W 1002 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 
13 MOVING W NW OR 295 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE
...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW QUADRANT
...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 20.5N 113.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE...20 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30 
NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 22.9N 116.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW QUADRANT AND
90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY NEAR 24.5N 119.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KRISTY NEAR 26.0N 
120.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KRISTY NEAR 27.0N 
119.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...180 
NM SE QUADRANT...75 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT OF 
KRISTY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT OF KRISTY
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM NE 
AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF KRISTY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2115 UTC THU SEP 13...

.TROPICAL STORM KRISTY...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM SE 
QUADRANT OF LOW. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 150 NM SE QUADRANT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 15N117W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED WITHIN
150 NM NW QUADRANT.

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 129W AND
137W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 07N96W TO 07N107W TO 
10N115W WHERE IT ENDS. IT THEN RESUMES AT 14N119W TO 11N129W. 
THE ITCZ BEGINS AT 10N138W AND CONTINUES TO BEYOND 09N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE 
MONSOON TROUGH E OF 88W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.