000
FZPN03 KNHC 131525
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU SEP 13 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 13
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 14
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 15

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 18.9N 109.3W 1002 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 
13 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE...60 NM SE...0 NM SW AND 50 NM NW 
QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 20.2N 112.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE...20 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM
SE AND NW QUADRANTS AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 22.5N 116.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY NEAR 24.0N 119.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KRISTY NEAR 25.0N
121.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KRISTY NEAR 26.0N
121.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS NEAR TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION
DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 45 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES OF KRISTY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM NE 
AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF KRISTY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM NE 
AND 135 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF KRISTY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC THU SEP 13...

.TROPICAL STORM KRISTY...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 16N TO 
20N BETWEEN 106W AND 110W.

.LOW PRES NEAR 16N116W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 
NM W QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N83W TO 08N114W. ITCZ FROM 11N133W TO 
09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 09N TO 14N W OF 
129W.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.