000
FZPN03 KNHC 122148
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC WED SEP 12 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED SEP 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 14.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 18.2N 106.9W 1005 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP
12 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE
...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 20.0N 109.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE...20 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM
SE AND NW QUADRANTS AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 21.5N 112.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE 
QUADRANT...120 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 17 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY NEAR 23.5N 116.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KRISTY NEAR 25.0N 
121.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KRISTY NEAR 26.0N 
122.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS NEAR TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION
DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 60 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES OF KRISTY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM NE 
AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF KRISTY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...LITTLE 
CHANGE.

.FROM 10N TO 11N E OF 89W INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF 05N BETWEEN 112W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT 
IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N96W...
INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2130 UTC WED SEP 12...

.TROPICAL STORM KRISTY...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER 
IN SE QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 270 NM OF CENTER IN E SEMICIRCLE AND FROM 10N TO 14N 
BETWEEN 107W AND 109W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER IN W SEMICIRCLE.

.SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF 15N115W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N85W TO 07N95W TO 12N108W WHERE 
IT ENDS. IT RESUMES TO THE SW OF KRISTY AT 16N112W TO 14N120W
WHERE LOW LEVEL WINDS SUGGEST THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES
TO 14N126W TO 09N134W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 120 NM S OF ITCZ W OF 135W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.