000
FZPN03 KNHC 012106
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SAT SEP 01 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON SEP 03.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ILEANA NEAR 23.1N 119.7W 1003 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP
01 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ILEANA NEAR 23.10N 
121.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ILEANA NEAR 23.0N 
123.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS TO 13 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ILEANA NEAR 22.4N 
126.7W. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT NEAR CENTER. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ILEANA NEAR 21.5N 
130.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ILEANA NEAR 20.5N
133.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ILEANA WARNING...WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 90 NM 
SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.  
ELSEWHERE N OF 23N BETWEEN 112W AND 127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED N AND S SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 
23N BETWEEN 112W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
IN MIXED SW AND W SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ILEANA WARNING...WITHIN 120 
NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 180 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 23N BETWEEN 115W AND 129W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED N AND S SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 
20N TO 23N BETWEEN 117W AND 127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT IN MIXED SW AND W SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ILEANA WARNING...WITHIN 90 
NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 210 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 23N BETWEEN 119W AND 129W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED N AND S SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 20N 
TO 23N BETWEEN 119W AND 129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT 
PRIMARILY IN MIXED SW AND W SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ILEANA WARNING...WITHIN 300 
NM W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.

.LOW PRES 12N103.5W 1010 MB AND LOW PRES 16.5N102W 1007 MB. 
WITHIN 120 NM LINE 18N105W TO 14N98W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 98W AND 113W S TO SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 20N 
BETWEEN 95W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY 
IN MIXED S SWELL. POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
15N107W 1004 MB. WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 
20N BETWEEN 100W AND 112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
18N113W 1003 MB. WITHIN 360 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 
24N BETWEEN 103W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL. 

.S OF 04N BETWEEN 81W AND 85W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC SAT SEP 01...

.TROPICAL STORM ILEANA...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM NW AND 
WITHIN 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER. 

.TROPICAL LOW PRES 12N103.5W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 300 NM NW QUADRANT OF CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH 09N78W TO 10N85W TO 14N93W TO LOW PRES 12N103.5W 
TO 15N109W TO 10N125W TO 10N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE AND STRONG N 
OF 03N BETWEEN 80W AND 100W. SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF 
16N102W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 09N 
TO 16N BETWEEN 103W AND 114W.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.