000 FZPN03 KNHC 101533 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC FRI AUG 10 2012 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG 10 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT AUG 11 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG 12 .WARNINGS. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM GILMA NEAR 18.8N 119.3W 994 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 10 MOVING N NW OR 334 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GILMA NEAR 20.1N 119.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT...45 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA NEAR 21.1N 120.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 40 KT WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER. .72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW GILMA NEAR 21.7N 121.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW DISSIPATED. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN GILMA WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM OF GILMA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 22N BETWEEN 112W AND 124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN GILMA WARNING...WITHIN 150 NM OF GILMA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 23N BETWEEN 112W AND 123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN GILMA WARNING...WITHIN 90 NM SE AND 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF GILMA WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. .FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN 95W AND 105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN 95W AND 110W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 93W AND 105W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. .N OF 28N BETWEEN 122W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N BETWEEN 122W AND 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN N SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N BETWEEN 123W AND 133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 17N104W 1003 MB. WITHIN 30 NM N AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 19N107W 1001 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SE AND 210 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 1515 UTC FRI AUG 10... .TROPICAL STORM GILMA...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE. .AN AREA OF NUMEROUS STRONG EXISTS FROM 14N TO 20N BETWEEN 101W AND 106W..AND FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 97W AND 101W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS WITHIN 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 09N104W TO 11N100W TO 14N98W...AND WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE FROM 06N82W TO 07N87W. .SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG EXISTS FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN 82W AND 87W...AND WITHIN 45 NM OF 10.5N111W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N83W NW TO 10N88W WHERE ITS ENDS. IT BEGINS AGAIN AT 15N122W TO 10N130W WHERE LOW LEVEL WINDS SUGGEST IT TRANSITIONS TO THE ITCZ TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE ITCZ AXIS W OF 130W. $$ .FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.