000
FZPN03 KNHC 090906
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC THU AUG 09 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU AUG 09.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI AUG 10.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT AUG 11.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE GILMA NEAR 16.2N 118.6W 984 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 09
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...150 NM NE 
QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GILMA NEAR 17.4N 119.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GILMA NEAR 18.8N 121.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN THE AREA OF 
TROPICAL STORM WINDS WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GILMA NEAR 19.9N 121.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW GILMA NEAR 20.6N
122.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW GILMA NEAR 20.6N
124.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 
120 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE 
FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 114W AND 121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN PRIMARILY SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 
15N BETWEEN 115W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
PRIMARILY SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 
16N BETWEEN 115W AND 123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
PRIMARILY SW SWELL.
 
.N OF 27N BETWEEN 120W AND 132W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N BETWEEN 125W AND 135W WINDS 20 TO 25  
KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N BETWEEN 123W AND 135W WINDS 20 TO 25  
KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.

.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
10.5N105W. FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 98W AND 105W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
13N103W. FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 98W AND 105W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0845 UTC THU AUG 09...
.HURRICANE GILMA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER. ELSEWHERE...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 14N 
TO 17N BETWEEN 116W AND 119W.

.LOW PRES NEAR 11N102W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLE. 
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 15N95W TO 1010 MB LOW PRES 
NEAR 11N102W TO 09N110W THEN CONTINUES SW OF HURRICANE GILMA 
FROM 12N122W TO BEYOND 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG N 
OF 11N BETWEEN 92W AND 97W INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM N OF TROUGH FROM 126W TO 134W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.