000
FZPN03 KNHC 090314
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC THU AUG 09 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU AUG 09.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI AUG 10.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT AUG 11.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE GILMA NEAR 16.1N 118.4W 987 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 09 
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 
80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...150 NM NE 
QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GILMA NEAR 17.4N 120.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 30 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GILMA NEAR 18.6N 121.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 30 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GILMA NEAR 19.6N 122.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA NEAR 20.5N 122.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW GILMA NEAR 20.5N 
123.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 25 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 25 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 25 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE... 1006 
MB NEAR 13N101W MOVING N 10 KT. WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE... 1006 
MB NEAR 14N101W MOVING N 10 KT. WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.42 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N BETWEEN 123W AND 133W WINDS 20 TO 25  
KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0315 UTC THU AUG 09...
.HURRICANE GILMA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER. ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 13N TO 18N BETWEEN 
116W AND 121W.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 
13N TO 16N BETWEEN 92W AND 95W.    

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N78W TO 09N86W TO 12N93W TO A 1008 
MB LOW NEAR 10N103W TO 10N108W. THEN CONTINUES SW OF HURRICANE 
GILMA FROM 12N123W TO 09N130W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
FROM 04N TO 09N BETWEEN 77W AND 87W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO 
STRONG FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 103W AND 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 125W AND 140W. 

$$
.FORECASTER FORMOSA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.