000
FZPN03 KNHC 082111
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC WED AUG 08 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED AUG 08.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG 09.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG 10.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM GILMA NEAR 16.1N 117.8W 989 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 
08 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE 
QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 26 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GILMA NEAR 17.2N 119.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN THE AREA OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS WITH SEAS TO 30 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GILMA NEAR 18.4N 121.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. LITTLE 
CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER. SEAS TO 30 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GILMA NEAR 19.5N 122.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA NEAR 20.0N 122.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW GILMA NEAR 20.5N 
123.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 25 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 25 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 25 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.FROM 10 TO 15N W OF 138W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN 
MIXED NE WIND WAVES AND SE SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF 05N BETWEEN 110W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT 
IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N W OF 130W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2115 UTC WED AUG 08...
.T.S. GILMA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER. ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 13N TO 18N BETWEEN 
116W AND 121W.  

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 9N83W TO 12N96W TO 1008 MB LOW NEAR 
11N104W TO 13N109W. THEN CONTINUES SW OF T.S. GILMA FROM 12N120W 
TO 09N130W. ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N130W TO BEYOND 09N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 77W AND 90W... FROM 
09N TO 13N BETWEEN 103W AND 106W...AND FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 
113W AND 117W. 

$$
.FORECASTER FORMOSA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.