000
FZPN03 KNHC 081523
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED AUG 08 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 08.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 09.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG 10.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM GILMA NEAR 16.0N 117.1W 989 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG
08 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE
QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 25 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GILMA NEAR 17.1N 119.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN THE AREA OF TROPICAL 
STORM WINDS WITH SEAS TO 30 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GILMA NEAR 18.2N 120.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
SEAS TO 25 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GILMA NEAR 19.5N 121.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA NEAR 20.0N 122.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW GILMA NEAR 20.5N
122.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 25 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 25 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 25 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.FROM 10 TO 15N W OF 135W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT 
IN MIXED NE WIND WAVES AND SE SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF 05N BETWEEN 115W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT 
IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1445 UTC WED AUG 08...
.T.S. GILMA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER IN 
SE SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER IN NW SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 14N89W TO 1008 MB LOW PRES NEAR 
11N103W THEN CONTINUES W OF T.S. GILMA FROM 13N119W TO 09N130W. 
ITCZ AXIS IS FROM 09N130W TO BEYOND 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
FROM 05N TO 14N BETWEEN 85W AND 95W...AND FROM 06N TO 08N 
BETWEEN 128W AND 135W.

$$
.FORECASTER LANDSEA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.