000
FZPN03 KNHC 080913
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC WED AUG 08 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED AUG 08.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU AUG 09.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI AUG 10.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM GILMA NEAR 15.6N 116.1W 990 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG
08 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE
QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 
NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GILMA NEAR 16.8N 118.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN THE AREA OF TROPICAL 
STORM WINDS WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GILMA NEAR 17.9N 120.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GILMA NEAR 18.7N 121.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GILMA NEAR 19.5N 122.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA NEAR 20.0N 122.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 111W AND 115W S TO SW WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 
14N BETWEEN 114W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 
15N BETWEEN 115W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW 
SWELL.

.N OF 14N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 11 TO 17N W OF 134W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
MIXED NE AND SE SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF 06N BETWEEN 115W AND 126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT 
IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 10N BETWEEN 112W AND 126W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0845 UTC WED AUG 08...
.T.S. GILMA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 45 NM OF 
CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 13N TO 18N BETWEEN 
115W AND 118W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 110W 
AND 114W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 1008 MB LOW PRES NEAR 
10.5N102W TO 13N108W THEN CONTINUES W OF T.S. GILMA FROM 13N118W 
TO 08N134W. ITCZ AXIS IS FROM 08N134W TO BEYOND 10N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 100W 
AND 104W...AND FROM 06N TO 08N BETWEEN 126W AND 134W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.