000
FZPN03 KNHC 161530
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON JUL 16 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON JUL 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUL 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FABIO NEAR 18.9N 119.9W 988 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 16 
MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT 
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 170 NM NE...120 NM SE...110 NM SW AND 130 
NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 19.9N 120.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 21.4N 120.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE AND 20 NM SW 
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FABIO NEAR 24.4N 
120.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FABIO NEAR 26.0N
120.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS NEAR TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION
DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM OF FABIO WINDS TO 
33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM OF CENTER WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 135 NM OF 
FABIO WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF 
REMNANT LOW FABIO WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.N OF 29N BETWEEN 129W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT 
IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N W OF 128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC MON JUL 16...

.HURRICANE FABIO...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 
NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM SE QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 09N87W TO 07N110W TO 10N120W. ITCZ 
FROM 10N127W TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 120 NM N AND 60 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 96W AND 116W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.