000 FZPN03 KNHC 150918 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 UTC SUN JUL 15 2012 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN JUL 15. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON JUL 16. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUL 17. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE FABIO NEAR 16.6N 116.7W 972 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 15 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM N SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW QUADRANT.SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...240 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FABIO NEAR 17.8N 119.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 20.0N 121.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FABIO NEAR 22.5N 121.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FABIO NEAR 25.0N 122.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FABIO NEAR 26.0N 122.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 15.7N 136.2W 1004 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 15 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EMILIA NEAR 15.3N 141.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EMILIA NEAR 15.0N 146.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 12 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EMILIA NEAR 15.0N 152.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EMILIA NEAR 15.0N 158.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FABIO WARNING...WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM N SEMICIRLCE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN S SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FABIO WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 24N BETWEEN 113W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FABIO WARNING...WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 17N TO 25N BETWEEN 116W AND 126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 420 NM NW QUADRANT OF CENTER WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 360 NM NE QUADRANT OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N W OF 136W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 15N TO 22N W OF 138W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN E SWELL. N OF 22N W OF 138W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .42 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS SHIFTED W OF AREA. OVER FORECAST WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 130W AND 138W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N W OF 124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 0715 UTC SUN JUL 15... .TROPICAL STORM EMILIA...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM NE QUADRANT. .HURRICANE FABIO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT WITHIN 180 NM S QUADRANT. .SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM 19N TO 25N. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 09N82W TO 10N87W TO 08N95W TO 08N110W. ITCZ AXIS FROM 12N117W TO 05N133W TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 81W AND 84W. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.