000 FZPN03 KNHC 150317 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0430 UTC SUN JUL 15 2012 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN JUL 15. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON JUL 16. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE JUL 17. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE FABIO AT 16.4N 115.7W 972 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 15 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 90 GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 110 NM N SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE...220 NM NE QUADRANT AND 160 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FABIO NEAR 17.2N 118.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 75 GUSTS 90 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 19.0N 120.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 55 GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREAS OF STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 21.5N 121.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 45 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FABIO NEAR 23.5N 121.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 GUSTS 35 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FABIO NEAR 25.0N 121.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 20 GUSTS 30 KT. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM EMILIA AT 15.7N 134.5W 1002 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 15 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EMILIA NEAR 15.6N 139.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EMILIA NEAR 15.3N 145.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 12 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EMILIA NEAR 15.0N 150.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 20 GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EMILIA NEAR 15.0N 156.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 20 GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FABIO WARNING...WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN S SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FABIO WARNING...WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 240 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 24N BETWEEN 112W AND 124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FABIO WARNING...WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 23N BETWEEN 113W AND 126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT . .12 HOUR FORECAST FROM 15N TO 18N W OF 137W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 15N TO 18N W OF 139W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .ELSEWHERE N OF 15N W OF 128W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 26N W OF 133W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N W OF 127W NE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC SUN JUL 15... .TROPICAL STORM EMILIA...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM W AND 90 NM E SEMICIRCLES. .HURRICANE FABIO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...MONSOON TROUGH EXTEND FROM 10N85W TO 10N90W TO 08N99W TO 09N107W THE RESUMES FROM 12N119W TO 06N130W. ITCZ AXIS THEN EXTENDS TO 05N139W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM S OF AXIS FROM 92W TO 96W. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER WALLY BARNES. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.